US Unable To Restrain UAE In Sudan

These summarized facts and comments on the key points present a comprehensive overview of the complex geopolitical landscape surrounding Sudan's conflict:

 

US Envoy's Warning and Humanitarian Crisis: The US envoy's warning underscores the severity of Sudan's humanitarian crisis. The high death toll and displacement figures highlight the urgent need for international intervention and effective conflict resolution.

 

Darfur Abuses: The resurgence of ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity in Darfur is a grim reminder of the region's turbulent history. It emphasizes the need for sustained attention and action to prevent further atrocities.

 

UAE's Involvement and Economic Interests: The UAE's deep involvement in Sudan, driven by economic interests in gold mines and strategic geopolitical aims, complicates efforts to mediate the conflict. The support for RSF leader Hemedti links Sudan's internal strife to broader regional power dynamics.

 

Geopolitical Strategy and Iran's Influence: The alignment between the UAE and Russia, along with Iran's increasing influence, adds layers of complexity. Iran's supply of drones and anti-tank missiles to the SAF, and the potential for these weapons to reach the RSF, illustrate the intricate web of alliances and rivalries at play.

 

Potential Proxy War: The risk of a proxy war between Russian allies Iran and the UAE in Sudan is a concerning development. Moscow's attempt to balance its ties with both nations while maintaining influence highlights the fragile equilibrium in the region.

 

US Leverage and Diplomatic Shortcomings: The US's limited leverage over the UAE and reluctance to engage in robust diplomacy with Abu Dhabi reflect broader challenges in American foreign policy. The need to balance various geopolitical interests often hampers decisive action on specific conflicts like Sudan's.

 

UK's Position: The UK's focus on post-Brexit trade deals with the UAE, at the expense of addressing human rights violations in Sudan, demonstrates the tension between economic interests and ethical considerations in foreign policy.

 

Western Neglect of Africa: The growing influence of Russia and China in Africa, facilitated by Western neglect, underscores the shifting power dynamics on the continent. This neglect has created a vacuum that external powers are eager to fill, often to the detriment of local stability.

 

Future Concerns: Hemedti's forces' lack of self-sustainability compared to other UAE-backed groups raises questions about the long-term viability of Abu Dhabi's strategy in Sudan. The increasing reputational damage for the UAE in the West and the fractured geopolitical landscape suggest that Sudan's humanitarian crisis may worsen before it improves.

 

Overall, the situation in Sudan is a microcosm of broader geopolitical shifts, where local conflicts are intertwined with regional and global power plays. Addressing the crisis requires a multifaceted approach that considers the interests and actions of all involved parties.

Source:

Jonathan Fenton-Harvey is a journalist and researcher who focuses on conflict, geopolitics, and humanitarian issues in the Middle East and North Africa.

https://www.newarab.com/analysis/why-us-unable-restrain-uae-sudan