Wednesday, October 2, 2024

Containing Iran: Calls for Immediate Action Beyond Biden's and Harris's Failed Appeasement



Iran stands on the verge of nuclear weapons development, yet the international community's response to Tehran’s aggression has been one of repeated appeasement — a strategy that has clearly failed. Now is the time for a bold, decisive approach to confront the regime's nuclear ambitions, terrorism, and destabilization of the region. The world can no longer afford to rely on diplomacy alone; a comprehensive strategy of sanctions and force is urgently required to protect global security.

1. The Failure of Appeasement: Diplomacy Has Run Its Course

For decades, the international community, led by the United States and Europe, has pursued diplomacy as the primary means of containing Iran's nuclear ambitions and aggressive behaviour. Negotiations, such as the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), aimed to slow down Iran’s nuclear enrichment and bring it into compliance with international norms. But appeasement has had the opposite effect — emboldening Iran to expand its nuclear program, enhance its missile capabilities, and extend its influence through proxy warfare.

Instead of deterring aggression, diplomatic overtures without credible threats of consequences have allowed Iran to test the limits of international patience. This gradual easing of red lines — reminiscent of the proverbial frog in boiling water — has only led to more egregious violations. The 2015 nuclear deal, while a diplomatic success on paper, ultimately allowed Iran to continue uranium enrichment and left key issues like ballistic missile development untouched. Since then, Iran has resumed enriching uranium at dangerous levels, expelled International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) monitors, and continued to support terrorism across the region.

2. Appeasement's Legacy: A More Dangerous Iran

The most glaring consequence of the failed appeasement strategy is Iran’s near-breakout nuclear status. Despite promises of transparency, Iran has enriched uranium to 60%, alarmingly close to weapons-grade levels. Meanwhile, Tehran has advanced its ballistic missile technology, creating delivery systems capable of striking far beyond the Middle East, threatening Europe and even the United States.

Iran’s defiance is not limited to its nuclear program. The regime continues to fund and arm proxies like Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis, spreading instability across the region. The massacre by Hamas on October 7, Iran’s increasing attacks on US forces, and its violation of international maritime law highlight how appeasement has failed to temper Tehran’s aggression.

The international community has watched as Tehran built the largest ballistic missile arsenal in the region, systematically violated human rights, and expanded its proxy influence throughout the Middle East — all while facing minimal consequences. This track record proves that engagement without the backing of hard power has only emboldened the regime.

3. The True Cost of Appeasement: Regional and Global Instability

By repeatedly extending diplomatic olive branches, the West has allowed Iran to manipulate the international system. Tehran has become adept at using negotiations as a stalling tactic, continuing its nuclear advancements and aggressive foreign policy while keeping diplomatic channels open just enough to avoid decisive action.

Worse still, the world has normalized Iran’s escalations. What was once considered an intolerable violation, such as uranium enrichment beyond acceptable levels, is now a mere talking point in ongoing negotiations. This gradual erosion of standards has enabled Iran to push the boundaries of international tolerance, all the while inching closer to becoming a nuclear-armed state.

In addition, Iran's destabilizing actions have broader implications beyond the Middle East. Iran’s alliance with Russia in the Ukraine war, its support for terrorism, and its repeated targeting of international figures illustrate that Tehran’s ambitions reach far beyond its own borders. This is not just a regional issue but a global one.

4. A New Strategy: Moving Beyond Appeasement

The strategy of appeasement has run its course and must be replaced with a firmer approach. The US and its allies can no longer afford to treat Iran as a partner for peace. A clear and robust message must be sent that Iranian aggression will no longer be tolerated, and there will be immediate and significant consequences for further escalation.

A global coalition, led by the United States, must pivot from ineffective diplomacy to a strategy that combines both economic sanctions and military deterrence. The international community should trigger the “snapback” sanctions mechanism within the JCPOA framework and impose further economic pressure to weaken Iran’s regime. At the same time, a credible military threat against Iran’s nuclear facilities must be communicated — Iran must understand that its nuclear ambitions will be met with decisive force if it continues its pursuit.

5. Restoring Deterrence: The Role of Force

To prevent Iran from achieving nuclear weapons capability, the US and its allies must demonstrate that they are willing to take military action if necessary. The failure of appeasement has left no other option. The Biden administration should be applauded for quickly deploying military assets to the Middle East, but this must be followed up with clear ultimatums to Tehran. Iran must be made to understand that any further attacks on Israel, US personnel, or other allies will result in direct military consequences.

6. The Path Forward: A Unified Global Response

It is time for the international community to recognize the full scope of the threat posed by Iran. This regime’s actions are not just about regional dominance; they aim to challenge the entire Western security order. Iran's growing alliance with Russia, coupled with its proxy network in the Middle East, shows a concerted effort to disrupt global stability.

To confront this, the US, G-7 nations, European Union, and Arab allies must form a united front. Sanctions should be reimposed immediately, targeting critical sectors of Iran’s economy, including energy and banking. A multinational naval force should be deployed to safeguard international maritime routes, and strict measures should be enacted to cut off Iran's ability to arm and fund its proxies.

Moreover, Iran must face the prospect of direct military intervention if it continues to pursue nuclear weapons. Tehran must be forced back to the negotiating table, but this time with a clear understanding that diplomatic solutions will only be possible if accompanied by firm consequences.

7. Conclusion: No More Appeasement

The failure of appeasement has led to a more aggressive, dangerous, and emboldened Iran. The international community must now move beyond ineffective diplomacy and pursue a new strategy that combines crippling sanctions and the credible threat of military force. Only through such a decisive and unified response can Iran's nuclear ambitions be curtailed, its regional destabilization contained, and global security restored.

The time for appeasement has ended. It is time to act. START!

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Thanks for your thoughts, comments and opinions, will be in touch. Peter Clarke